Sunday, December 7, 2014

Predictions


     Can we know today what will happen tomorrow, next week, or even into the distant future?  If so, how do we know?
     We base predictions on our analysis of the past and on the probability that tomorrow will be similar to today with planned and unplanned variations.  We have a basic understanding of the laws of nature, the way our body works, and the patterns of human behavior.  Some people make predictions based on prophesies and promises stated in holy scriptures.  They believe that if they study and accept these religious ideas, they will have an unending future.
     Our predictions may be accurate, partially true, or just wishful thinking.  Surprises happen both good and bad: pleasant weather or earthquakes, fires, and storms; continued good health or disease, injury, and aging; satisfying relationships or arguments, divorce, and estrangements.  Of course, we all hope for the best but must be prepared for less than the best.  Focus on the future can help or hinder dealing with the present.  Some people find comfort in realistic optimism; some have faith in religious beliefs.
     Predictions after all are informed guesses or opinions.  We can strive to make more sound predictions but at the same time improve our ability to handle the unknown.  Like Annie, we need to have a certain amount of optimism that the sun will come out tomorrow.

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